Penguin Books End Times

Product description

Isbn: 9780141999289

author: peter turchin

publisher: penguin books uk

language: english

binding: paperback

summary: a guardian book of the year 'game of thrones-style intra-elite conflict meets big data' tls 'extraordinary. . . The culmination of many years of highly original and innovative work' bloomberg one of the most iconoclastic thinkers of our time offers a for decades, complexity scientist peter turchin has been studying world history like no-one else. Assembling vast databases mined from 10,000 years of human activity, and then developing new models, he has transformed the way we learn from the past. Is the result: a groundbreaking account of how society works. The lessons, he argues, are clear. When the power balance between the ruling class and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, income inequality surges. The rich get richer, the poor further impoverish. As more people try to join the elite, frustration with the establishment overflows, often with disastrous consequences. Elite overproduction led to state breakdown in imperial china, in medieval france, in the american civil war - and it is happening now. While we are far along the path towards violent political rupture, turchin's models also light the way to a brighter future. Drawing insight from those occasions in history where the balance was restored, also points towards a different future: an escape from the patterns of the past.

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• Barcode No: KBLN9780141999289
• Origin: GB